Financial Projection
3 scenarios × 3 horizons · All figures in TRY (thousands)
Conservative
₺1.6M
Total Revenue (12mo)
EBITDA
₺-14.7M
Break-Even
—
End Users
32,614
Gross Margin
9.6%
Base Case
₺6.9M
Total Revenue (12mo)
EBITDA
₺-22.1M
Break-Even
—
End Users
96,712
Gross Margin
31.3%
Aggressive
₺35.6M
Total Revenue (12mo)
EBITDA
₺-26.8M
Break-Even
—
End Users
293,150
Gross Margin
49.6%
Monthly Revenue — All Scenarios (₺K)
12-month horizon comparison
- Conservative
- Base Case
- Aggressive
P&L Breakdown (₺K) — Base Case
Revenue, Gross Profit & EBITDA
- Revenue
- Gross Profit
- EBITDA
User & Driver Growth — Base Case
Cumulative registered users and active drivers
- Total Users
Margin Trends (%) — Base Case
Gross margin and EBITDA margin over time
- Gross Margin
- EBITDA Margin
Year-End Revenue & EBITDA Summary (₺K)
Cumulative totals at end of each year
| Period | Conservative | Base Case | Aggressive | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | EBITDA | Revenue | EBITDA | Revenue | EBITDA | |
| Year 1 | ₺1,552K | ₺-14,713K | ₺6,897K | ₺-22,082K | ₺35,636K | ₺-26,834K |
| Year 2 | ₺11,133K | ₺-70,550K | ₺72,472K | ₺-194,941K | ₺555,615K | ₺-601,356K |
| Year 3 | ₺43,732K | ₺-497,298K | ₺385,847K | ₺-3,253,516K | ₺3,999,688K | ₺-27,418,054K |
Monthly P&L Detail — Base Case
All figures in TRY
| Month | Users | Drivers | Gross Rev | Var Costs | Gross Profit | Gross Margin | Fixed OPEX | EBITDA | EBITDA Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | 6,400 | 16 | ₺87K | (₺74K) | ₺31K | 29.5% | (₺814K) | ₺-783K | -743.6% |
| M2 | 8,192 | 20 | ₺112K | (₺94K) | ₺41K | 30.1% | (₺922K) | ₺-882K | -653.5% |
| M3 | 10,486 | 24 | ₺143K | (₺120K) | ₺53K | 30.6% | (₺1.0M) | ₺-991K | -575.0% |
| M4 | 13,422 | 28 | ₺183K | (₺153K) | ₺68K | 31.0% | (₺1.2M) | ₺-1.2M | -531.9% |
| M5 | 17,180 | 32 | ₺234K | (₺194K) | ₺88K | 31.3% | (₺1.3M) | ₺-1.2M | -441.0% |
| M6 | 21,990 | 36 | ₺300K | (₺248K) | ₺114K | 31.5% | (₺1.4M) | ₺-1.3M | -362.8% |
| M7 | 28,147 | 40 | ₺384K | (₺316K) | ₺147K | 31.7% | (₺2.1M) | ₺-1.9M | -416.5% |
| M8 | 36,028 | 44 | ₺492K | (₺404K) | ₺189K | 31.8% | (₺2.3M) | ₺-2.1M | -362.1% |
| M9 | 46,116 | 48 | ₺630K | (₺517K) | ₺242K | 31.9% | (₺2.6M) | ₺-2.4M | -315.1% |
| M10 | 59,028 | 52 | ₺806K | (₺660K) | ₺311K | 32.0% | (₺3.0M) | ₺-2.7M | -279.4% |
| M11 | 75,556 | 56 | ₺1.0M | (₺844K) | ₺399K | 32.1% | (₺3.5M) | ₺-3.1M | -245.7% |
| M12 | 96,712 | 60 | ₺1.3M | (₺1.1M) | ₺511K | 32.1% | (₺4.0M) | ₺-3.5M | -217.5% |